Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.001371 0.001460 0.001550 0.001651 0.001760 0.001873 0.002001
2024-11-03 0.001212 0.001329 0.001453 0.001596 0.001757 0.001931 0.002135
2024-11-10 0.001137 0.001277 0.001430 0.001611 0.001821 0.002055 0.002340
2024-11-17 0.001060 0.001214 0.001387 0.001596 0.001844 0.002130 0.002486
2024-11-24 0.001014 0.001181 0.001373 0.001611 0.001899 0.002239 0.002674
2024-12-01 0.000952 0.001125 0.001327 0.001583 0.001898 0.002279 0.002777
2024-12-08 0.000904 0.001083 0.001295 0.001568 0.001911 0.002333 0.002896
2024-12-15 0.000864 0.001047 0.001268 0.001557 0.001926 0.002388 0.003017
2024-12-22 0.000833 0.001021 0.001251 0.001556 0.001953 0.002458 0.003159
2024-12-29 0.000798 0.000989 0.001225 0.001542 0.001960 0.002502 0.003267
2025-01-05 0.000771 0.000965 0.001207 0.001537 0.001978 0.002559 0.003394
2025-01-12 0.000736 0.000930 0.001174 0.001510 0.001966 0.002573 0.003461
2025-01-19 0.000709 0.000905 0.001156 0.001505 0.001987 0.002641 0.003615
2025-01-26 0.000666 0.000858 0.001106 0.001456 0.001945 0.002618 0.003637
2025-02-02 0.000650 0.000846 0.001102 0.001469 0.001990 0.002719 0.003844
2025-02-09 0.000625 0.000821 0.001080 0.001455 0.001996 0.002764 0.003970
2025-02-16 0.000612 0.000810 0.001077 0.001468 0.002039 0.002864 0.004185
2025-02-23 0.000586 0.000782 0.001049 0.001443 0.002026 0.002880 0.004269
2025-03-02 0.000566 0.000761 0.001029 0.001430 0.002030 0.002920 0.004392
2025-03-09 0.000548 0.000743 0.001012 0.001419 0.002037 0.002966 0.004525
2025-03-16 0.000534 0.000730 0.001002 0.001419 0.002059 0.003034 0.004698
2025-03-23 0.000517 0.000711 0.000985 0.001406 0.002061 0.003071 0.004821
2025-03-30 0.000504 0.000698 0.000973 0.001402 0.002075 0.003127 0.004978